Aarau II vs Ostermundigen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
AAR
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
6 - 1
FCC
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 2
AAR
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
3 - 1
TAV
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
AAR
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ostermundigen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
OST
2 - 1
BER
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 1
OST
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
OST
1 - 0
ALL
30%
22%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OST
0 - 5
LAN
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
5 - 2
OST
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |