Aarau II vs Olten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
WAN
2 - 0
AAR
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
AAR
1 - 5
FCM
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 1
AAR
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AAR
0 - 1
ROT
85%
10%
6%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DUL
2 - 0
AAR
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Olten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
OLT
2 - 4
BST
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ZOF
4 - 1
OLT
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
OLT
1 - 2
DIE
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OLT
1 - 3
FCW
11%
20%
70%
|
22 | 59 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
OLT
1 - 1
BIB
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |