Aarau II vs Langenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
2 - 0
BER
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AAR
5 - 0
BUM
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 5
AAR
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
8 - 1
OST
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
AAR
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 1
WOH
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
LAN
22%
23%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 1
TAV
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 0
LAN
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
4 - 1
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |