Aarau II vs Kilchberg-Rüschlikon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
AAR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AAR
4 - 0
BIN
84%
10%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
4 - 2
AAR
12%
16%
73%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 1
BER
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 2
AAR
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kilchberg-Rüschlikon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 0
MUT
23%
21%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LIE
3 - 0
KRU
63%
18%
18%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
KRU
0 - 1
RSZ
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 2
DAR
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 1
DOR
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |