Aarau II vs FC Muri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 1
LSS
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
AAR
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 1
LUZ
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
SAR
3 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 0
ACS
76%
15%
8%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 0
SAR
52%
23%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
FCM
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 3
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -3 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 3
FCM
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FCM
1 - 3
GOL
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |