Aarau II vs FC Courtetelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 2
AAR
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
3 - 1
TAV
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
AAR
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 2
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
AAR
23%
22%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Courtetelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
BER
28%
23%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BUM
4 - 4
FCC
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 1
ALL
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
OST
5 - 1
FCC
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |