Aarau II vs Biberist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
4.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.9%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.6%
5-0
9%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.2%
4-0
11%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.8%
1.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BST
1 - 2
AAR
13%
15%
72%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AAR
0 - 1
ZOF
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 0
OLT
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SUB
0 - 6
AAR
11%
16%
72%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 2
PAJ
70%
16%
15%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Biberist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BIB
0 - 7
FCM
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BST
2 - 2
BIB
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |