Aarau II vs Alle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
OST
1 - 2
AAR
13%
17%
69%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AAR
4 - 2
MOU
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 2
AAR
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AAR
0 - 1
WOH
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 1
AAR
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Alle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 3
BER
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BUM
3 - 2
ALL
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LAN
4 - 3
ALL
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALL
3 - 4
OST
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 2
ALL
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |