Aarau II vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 2
ESC
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 2
AAR
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 2
FCM
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 1
LSS
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
AAR
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LUZ
3 - 3
FCA
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 2
FCA
51%
23%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 0
EMM
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |