Aarau II vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
IBA
1 - 1
AAR
35%
24%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AAR
5 - 0
TAV
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 6
AAR
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
GOL
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 1
EMM
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
EMM
3 - 1
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 2
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 0
EMM
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 1
LSS
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |