Aarau II vs Dulliken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
PAJ
0 - 1
AAR
33%
21%
46%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 0
WOH
86%
10%
5%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AAR
0 - 2
BIB
93%
5%
2%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BST
1 - 2
AAR
13%
15%
72%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AAR
0 - 1
ZOF
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dulliken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
DUL
2 - 3
BST
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ZOF
3 - 2
DUL
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
DUL
1 - 1
DIE
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FCW
1 - 1
DUL
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
DUL
1 - 2
OLT
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |