Aarau II vs Dardania Basel analysis


36	ELO	13
24.9%	Tilt	21.8%
29576º	General ELO ranking	29580º
298º	Country ELO ranking	301º
ELO win probability

89.9%

Aarau II

7.2%

Draw

2.9%

Dardania Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

89.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%

7.2%

Draw

0-0

1.7%

1-1

3.4%

2-2

1.7%

3-3

0.4%

4-4

<0%

0

7.2%

2.9%

Win probability

0.57

Expected goals

0-1

1%

1-2

1%

2-3

0.3%

3-4

0.1%

-1

2.3%

0-2

0.3%

1-3

0.2%

2-4

0%

-2

0.5%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau II

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
23 Aug. 2014	BER 3 - 4 AAR 10% 15% 75%	35	16	19	0
16 Aug. 2014	AAR 0 - 0 ALL 73% 15% 12%	35	26	9	0
09 Aug. 2014	BST 2 - 3 AAR 12% 16% 72%	35	17	18	0
07 Jun. 2014	BUM 4 - 2 AAR 22% 21% 57%	36	25	11	-1
31 May. 2014	AAR 2 - 1 ALL 88% 9% 4%	36	17	19	0