Aarau II vs Bümpliz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 5
AAR
17%
20%
63%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
8 - 1
OST
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
AAR
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
6 - 1
FCC
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 2
AAR
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bümpliz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 2
BER
44%
23%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 0
LAN
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 3
BUM
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BUM
1 - 1
OST
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
BUM
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |