Aarau II vs Binningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
4 - 2
AAR
12%
16%
73%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 1
BER
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 2
AAR
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 1
BST
91%
6%
3%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 2
UZU
66%
17%
17%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BIN
2 - 3
MUT
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LIE
2 - 2
BIN
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BIN
2 - 3
KRU
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BIN
0 - 1
DOR
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BIN
0 - 2
RSZ
23%
22%
56%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |