Aalesunds FK vs Mjøndalen IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
16º
15º
22
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 70 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 41 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 39 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 34 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 20 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32.5% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ELP
2 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 0
ELP
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ELP
1 - 2
BRY
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 0
ELP
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
ELP
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 1
BRY
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 0
MJO
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 0
LEV
24%
24%
51%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 1
MJO
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
MJO
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |