Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 2-7
Aalesunds FK vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ELP
3 - 1
RBK
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ELP
0 - 1
ODD
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
ELF
1 - 1
ELP
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 0
ELP
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
ELP
4 - 0
ELF
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 1
PSV
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
JAB
1 - 1
AZA
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 0
JAB
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
UTR
5 - 1
AZA
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |