Aalen II vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
STU
1 - 1
AAL
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AAL
1 - 1
VFR
29%
23%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
KEH
2 - 0
AAL
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
KPF
4 - 2
AAL
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AAL
2 - 0
FRE
13%
17%
71%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 0
KPF
83%
13%
5%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
5 - 0
FRE
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
SPI
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
PFU
3 - 2
FRE
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
RAV
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |