Aalborg BK vs Hobro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
6º
3º
47
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 1
AAB
25%
24%
52%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AAB
3 - 3
KOL
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 1
AAB
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 2
AAB
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AAB
1 - 0
SON
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 1
HOB
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 2
FRE
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 1
AAB
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
HOB
67%
20%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |