Aalborg BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
12º
9º
18
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 44 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 39 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 36 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 35 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 33 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 23 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
59.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
25.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
74.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AAB
0 - 4
BIF
33%
25%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
VFF
2 - 3
AAB
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
AAB
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 1
SIF
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 0
AAB
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
5 - 1
VEJ
57%
25%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BIF
0 - 1
AGF
54%
22%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
4 - 0
SON
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
AGF
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |