Aalborg BK Reservas vs AC Horsens Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
13º
4º
9
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 13 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 6 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
5 - 1
AAB
53%
20%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
AAB
2 - 1
MID
31%
21%
48%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 2
AAB
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
AAB
2 - 0
HOB
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
HOB
1 - 3
AAB
25%
21%
55%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 0
VEL
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 1
HOR
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 2
VEL
49%
21%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 1
VIB
30%
22%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 3
HOR
42%
22%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |