AA Iguaçu vs Toledo Colonia Work (PR) analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AA Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 2
IGU
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 1
APU
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IGU
0 - 2
PFC
75%
15%
9%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VER
0 - 0
IGU
17%
19%
64%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
FOZ
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Toledo Colonia Work (PR)
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TOL
5 - 0
AEC
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 0
TOL
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
TOL
78%
16%
7%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
ASB
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
TOL
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |