AA Iguaçu vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AA Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IGU
0 - 0
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
GEM
0 - 5
IGU
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 2
IGU
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IGU
2 - 0
PFC
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ACP
4 - 1
IGU
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
GEM
0 - 8
NPR
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NPR
0 - 1
ACP
26%
24%
51%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
APU
1 - 2
NPR
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NPR
2 - 2
FOZ
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NPR
1 - 1
LEC
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |