Guarany SE vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
SOC
47%
26%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
GUA
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAG
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMA
46%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
ITA
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
ITA
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 1
CAM
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |