Guarany SE vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 0
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
SOC
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
ITA
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |