Guarany SE vs Coritiba SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 0
ECP
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ECP
1 - 1
GUA
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
FJA
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 4
GUA
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
CDC
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
CDC
22%
20%
58%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 1
COR
55%
21%
24%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
3 - 3
ECP
19%
19%
62%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FJA
4 - 0
COR
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 4
GUA
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |