Guarany SE vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CON
5 - 0
GUA
80%
15%
6%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
SOC
47%
26%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
OSE
1 - 2
BOC
34%
25%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
DOR
32%
22%
45%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
4 - 2
BOC
56%
24%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
OSE
3 - 3
BOC
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |