Portuguesa vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
ATP
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
SCI
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 0
POR
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
VIT
3 - 0
GOI
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCI
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
COT
0 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
IFC
2 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |