Portuguesa vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ABC
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
LUV
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
OES
3 - 0
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 5
ABC
30%
29%
41%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
VAS
3 - 1
VIL
80%
15%
5%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
OES
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAR
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 1
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |