Portuguesa vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 3
POR
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
CRI
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
PPE
0 - 3
POR
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
DUQ
70%
18%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |