Portuguesa vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 1
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
RIO
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
VOT
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 2
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 4
MOG
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 0
UNI
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
VOT
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |