Portuguesa vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
POR
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
FLU
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
COT
25%
27%
49%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 2
SPO
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
CRZ
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |