Portuguesa vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
CRI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
POR
2 - 3
ATP
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
KAA
3 - 2
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SLB
0 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
BYM
2 - 0
SAO
86%
10%
3%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |