Portuguesa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
USA
0 - 3
POR
14%
22%
64%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
BER
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OES
2 - 1
POR
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
OES
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
USA
1 - 3
SAO
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
BER
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |