Portuguesa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
POR
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
39%
27%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |