Portuguesa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
RIO
74%
16%
9%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
ARO
0 - 7
POR
11%
19%
70%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
PAU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
MOG
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 4
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +2 |