Paulista A2 Etapas Finales Final
Global 3-1
Portuguesa vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
RIO
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
PRI
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 1
POR
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OES
1 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
OES
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
XVD
1 - 5
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
XVD
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |