Portuguesa vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
PPE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 0
SAN
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
TUP
51%
26%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |