Portuguesa vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
POR
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
POR
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
POR
30%
28%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
LUV
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAM
82%
14%
4%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAM
77%
17%
6%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
PAL
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | +1 |