Paulista A2 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Portuguesa vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
PRI
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 1
POR
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
POR
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
1 - 1
POR
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 2
RIO
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
TAU
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
RIO
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |