Portuguesa vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 3
POR
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
POR
3 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
COT
2 - 0
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
FFL
40%
26%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 2
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
DUQ
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 2
PPE
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |