Portuguesa vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
22%
23%
54%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
SAO
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
COR
4 - 1
OES
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
OES
1 - 0
ITU
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
OES
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
OES
0 - 0
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
OES
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |