Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-1
Portuguesa vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COM
7 - 0
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CAP
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
83%
13%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
NAV
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
16%
23%
62%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
NAV
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
URS
1 - 2
NAV
20%
23%
58%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |