Portuguesa vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
CRZ
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 4
COT
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
NAU
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 0
PPE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
NAU
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |