Portuguesa vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
POR
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 3
POR
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 2
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 0
NAU
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
NAU
0 - 3
VAS
24%
24%
53%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |