Portuguesa vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 3
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
POR
2 - 3
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
POR
2 - 3
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
JUV
4 - 1
POR
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
ATI
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VOT
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 3
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAO
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |