Portuguesa vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
RIV
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 3
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AGU
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
XVD
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 0
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
6 - 0
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |