Portuguesa vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
POR
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
AGU
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
TAU
0 - 1
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
17%
23%
61%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAU
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |