Portuguesa vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
8%
21%
71%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
18%
26%
56%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
AGU
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
MIR
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |