Portuguesa vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
ATL
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
AME
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 0
MAC
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TIG
3 - 2
MAC
19%
24%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CAB
0 - 1
MAC
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |