Portuguesa vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
OES
3 - 0
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ICA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 3
PPE
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AMF
3 - 1
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
AVA
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
OES
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 0
LUV
62%
22%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
LUV
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 2
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -2 |